Citation

Liu DG, Wang DQ, Wu ZL. J. Traffic Transp. Eng. (Xi'an, Shaanxi) 2006; 6(2): 94-98.

Affiliation

School of Navigation, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, Liaoning, China

Copyright

(Copyright © 2006, Chang'an Daxue)

DOI

unavailable

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

In order to take TC (tropical cyclone) forecasts from different observatories into consideration, make quantitative assessment and analysis for avoiding TC routes from the views of safety and economic benefit, a new safe-economic decision making method of TC avoidance routing on ocean was put forward. The model is based on the combining forecast of TC route neural networks, the technical method to determine future TC wind and wave fields, the technical method of fuzzy information optimization, risk analysis theory and meteorological-economic decision making theory. It was applied to the simulation of MV Tianlihai's shipping on ocean. The result shows that the model can select the best plan from 7 plans, the selected plan is in accordance with the one selected by experienced captains.