Citation

Duarte EC, Duarte E, Sousa MC, Tauil PL, Montelro RA. Epidemiol. Serv. Saude 2008; 17(1): 7-20.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2008, Coordenação-Geral de Desenvolvimento da Epidemiologia em em Serviços / Secretaria de Vigilância em Saúde / Ministério da Saúde)

DOI

unavailable

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

This ecological analysis provides trends of mortality of men aged 20-49 years, by homicide (HO) and road traffic accident (RTA) in 11 capital cities in the Northern and West Central Regions of Brazil during the period 1980-2005. Linear regression was used to obtain time trend of the mean risk of dying by homicide or RTA. The overall risk of homicide increased from 49.8 to 91.6 deaths/100,000 men (p?0.001) from the period 1980-1982 to 2003-2005. The largest increases were noticed in the cities of Cuiabá (ß=7.8), capital of the State of Mato Grosso, and Macapá (ß=5.3), capital of the State of Amapá. In 1998 was implemented nationwide the new Brazilian Traffic Code (CTB). When analysing the RTA mortality rates after adjusting for the annual average trend, a mean decrease of -10.9 deaths/100,000 men was observed comparing the pre-CTB and post-CTB periods. The largest decreases were documented for Brasilia-DF (ß=-33.9) and Goiânia (ß=-24.8), capital of the State of Goiás. The present findings may guide future studies and interventions targeting these Regions.