Citation

Marchment Z, Gill P. Appl. Geogr. 2019; 104: 21-31.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2019, Elsevier Publishing)

DOI

10.1016/j.apgeog.2019.01.009

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

This is the first study to apply a discrete choice model to understand terrorist spatial decision making. The findings support the proposition that terrorists make decisions that are guided by rationality and act in a similar way to urban criminals. A conditional logistic regression ascertained which characteristics increased the likelihood that an area would be selected as a target, using a dataset of attacks carried out by the Provisional Irish Republican Army in Belfast over a twenty-year period. An increase in distance from the terrorist's home to the attack site decreased the likelihood that an area would be chosen and an area was more likely to be chosen if it contained a major road, police station or military base.

Language: en