Citation

Denny VE, Gilbert KJ, Erdmann RC, Rumble ET. J. Saf. Res. 1978; 10(1): 24-34.

Affiliation

University of California, Los Angeles

Copyright

(Copyright © 1978, U.S. National Safety Council, Publisher Elsevier Publishing)

DOI

unavailable

PMID

unavailable

Abstract

Current methods of risk assessment for large-scale technological systems are applied to low probability-high consequence accidents in underground mining. Event to reconstruction, fault and decision tree analysis, and consequence modeling are applied to a recent mine disaster, the Sunshine Mine accident of 1972. Representative results are obtained and discussed within the framework of improved safety at reasonable cost. These results show that, given the accident (a fire at a critical location in the path of this series ventilation system), an a priori risk analysis would have established likely accident sequences whose severe consequences would have stimulated appropriate remedial action.