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Journal Article

Citation

Fuller CW. Scand. J. Med. Sci. Sports 2018; 28(6): 1715-1721.

Affiliation

Colin Fuller Consultancy Ltd, Sutton Bonington, Loughborough, UK.

Copyright

(Copyright © 2018, John Wiley and Sons)

DOI

10.1111/sms.13078

PMID

29474738

Abstract

The loss of players through injury is known to affect team performance in many sports; it is important therefore for professional teams to be able to quantify the likely injury-burden that will be encountered throughout a season. A kinetic model, based on the rates at which match and training injuries are sustained and resolved, a team's squad size and the 2017/18 season fixture schedule for teams competing in the English Premier League, is used to produce daily forecasts of injury-burden experienced by a typical team. The incidences and median severities of match (incidence: 26.9 injuries/1000 player-match-hours, 95% CI: 21.5 to 33.7; severity: 17.5 days, 95% CI: 13.0 to 28.0) and training (incidence: 4.3 injuries/1000 player-training-hours, 95% CI: 3.4 to 5.5; severity: 14.0 days, 95% CI: 11.0 to 22.0) injuries were determined using data collected from four English Premier League football clubs during the 2016/17 season. Time-to-recovery curves for the match and training injuries sustained in the Premier League closely matched the time-to-recovery curves predicted by the kinetic model used in this study. The kinetic model predicted higher match and lower training injury burdens and a higher overall injury burden for successful teams competing in both national and European club competitions compared to teams competing only in national competitions. The model also showed that, in terms of injury-burden, there were no benefits in adopting a 4-week mid-season break during the season: reducing the number of clubs competing in the Premier League would, however, reduce the overall injury burden during a season. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Keywords: Soccer


Language: en

Keywords

match load; mid-season break; risk management; training load

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