@article{ref1,
title="Adolescent alcohol use trajectories: Predictors and subsequent problems",
journal="Addictive behaviors",
year="2010",
author="Danielsson, Anna-Karin and Wennberg, Peter and Tengström, Anders and Romelsjö, Anders",
volume="ePub",
number="ePub",
pages="ePub-ePub",
abstract="This study aimed at identifying different alcohol drinking trajectories in early to late adolescence. We also examined whether certain factors predicted membership of a specific trajectory and to what extent trajectory membership was linked to later negative consequences. Data were drawn from a longitudinal cohort study starting with 1923 adolescents including all seventh grade students in six school districts in Stockholm, Sweden 2001 (age 14), with follow-up in 2002, 2003, and 2006 (age 19). Cluster- and multinomial logistic regression analyses revealed four developmental pathways: low, gradually increasing, high, and suddenly increasing consumption. &quot;High consumers&quot; and &quot;sudden increasers&quot; reported higher levels of alcohol consumption, heavy episodic drinking, and alcohol-related problems both at age 14-16 and at age 19. The &quot;gradual increasers&quot; were more likely to smoke cigarettes, have easy access to alcohol, visit youth recreation centres, have friends who drink, and report a poorer health, compared to the &quot;low consumer/abstainer group&quot;. &quot;High consumers&quot; were more likely to have drinking peers than both &quot;low consumers/abstainers&quot; and &quot;gradual increasers&quot;.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0306-4603",
doi="10.1016/j.addbeh.2010.05.001",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.addbeh.2010.05.001"
}