@article{ref1,
title="Estimation of fatalities due to road traffic crashes in Karachi, Pakistan, using capture-recapture method",
journal="Asia-Pacific journal of public health",
year="2010",
author="Muhammad Usman Lateef, ",
volume="22",
number="3",
pages="332-341",
abstract="The objective of the study was to estimate the magnitude of road traffic fatalities occurring in Karachi, Pakistan. A 2-source capture-recapture model was applied to obtain a reliable estimate of the magnitude of the problem. A conservative adjusted estimate of fatalities generated, using data from 2 sources matched by at least name, gender, age, and location. In 2008, police reported 616 fatalities whereas hospitals recorded 1092 fatalities due to road traffic crashes. The capture- recapture analysis estimated at least 1375 fatalities. Police data show 55% deficit from the estimated figure and 43.6% deficit from the observed one, whereas hospital data show 20.6% deficit from the estimation. Road traffic crashes and resulting fatalities and injuries are a much more substantial health problem than is evident from official statistics. The capture-recapture analysis can be used as a tool to provide affordable and reliable estimates in developing countries where routine official statistics suffer from underreporting.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="1010-5395",
doi="10.1177/1010539509356808",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1010539509356808"
}