@article{ref1,
title="The effect of an ageing and less fit population on the ability of people to egress buildings",
journal="Safety science",
year="2012",
author="Spearpoint, Michael J. and MacLennan, Hamish A.",
volume="50",
number="8",
pages="1675-1684",
abstract="The functional capability of building occupants to egress from buildings is likely to change as populations age and become less fit. A review of the current health literature suggests obesity can be used to determine the likely reduction in walking speed and also as a marker for other egress related factors such as the risk of falls. This paper examines the possible effects of gender, age and obesity and uses a Monte Carlo network evacuation model to examine whether these changes will significantly increase the total evacuation time from an exemplar high-rise building. Modelling results suggest that total evacuation times may increase by up to 20% when comparing historical data from Canada in 1971 with a future New Zealand scenario for 2031.<p />",
language="en",
issn="0925-7535",
doi="10.1016/j.ssci.2011.12.019",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2011.12.019"
}