@article{ref1,
title="Additional flaws in the Minnesota Sex Offender Screening Tool-Revised",
journal="Journal of threat assessment",
year="2003",
author="Wollert, Richard",
volume="2",
number="4",
pages="65-78",
abstract="Wollert's (2002) paper on actuarial tests that are used for the prediction of sexual recidivism (ATSRs) showed that the recidivism rates for the score groups in the MnSOST-R developmental sample were inflated, and that they &quot;shrank&quot; by as much as 44 percentage points on cross-validation. Doren and Dow (2002) present an analysis of Wollert's (2002) research and an alternative study that they claim demonstrated a lack of shrinkage. This commentary presents a critique of Doren and Dow's response. Various considerations indicate that the original cross-validation was appropriate. Doren and Dow's alternative was also found to be unacceptably flawed. Additional analyses cast doubt on the MnSOST-R's validity coefficients and its relevance for identifying likely recidivists, and a consensus was apparent that the MnSOST-R experience table for the developmental sample should not be used in civil commitment hearings. Finally, a number of guidelines for the development of ATSRs were reviewed. In particular, it was noted that test developers could make a valuable contribution to the field by sharing data about their tests with other professionals when asked to do so.<p />",
language="",
issn="1533-2608",
doi="10.1300/J177v02n04_05",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1300/J177v02n04_05"
}