@article{ref1,
title="Is your profiling strategy robust?",
journal="Law, probability and risk",
year="2011",
author="Davidovitch, Lior and Ben-Haim, Yakov",
volume="10",
number="1",
pages="59-76",
abstract="The economic theory of crime views criminals as rational decision makers, implying elastic response to law enforcement. Group-dependent elasticities can be exploited for efficient allocation of enforcement resources. However, profiling can augment both number of arrests and total crime since non-profiled groups will increase their criminality. Elasticities are highly uncertain, so prediction is difficult and uncertainty must be accounted for in designing a profiling strategy. We use info-gap theory for satisficing (not minimizing) total crime rate. Using an empirical example, based on running red lights, we demonstrate the trade-off between robustness to uncertainty and total crime rate.<p /><p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="1470-8396",
doi="10.1093/lpr/mgq012",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgq012"
}