@article{ref1,
title="Shared visual attention reduces hindsight bias",
journal="Psychological science",
year="2012",
author="Wu, Daw-An and Shimojo, Shinsuke and Wang, Stephanie W. and Camerer, Colin F.",
volume="23",
number="12",
pages="1524-1533",
abstract="Hindsight bias is the tendency to retrospectively think of outcomes as being more foreseeable than they actually were. It is a robust judgment bias and is difficult to correct (or &quot;debias&quot;). In the experiments reported here, we used a visual paradigm in which performers decided whether blurred photos contained humans. Evaluators, who saw the photos unblurred and thus knew whether a human was present, estimated the proportion of participants who guessed whether a human was present. The evaluators exhibited visual hindsight bias in a way that matched earlier data from judgments of historical events surprisingly closely. Using eye tracking, we showed that a higher correlation between the gaze patterns of performers and evaluators (shared attention) is associated with lower hindsight bias. This association was validated by a causal method for debiasing: Showing the gaze patterns of the performers to the evaluators as they viewed the stimuli reduced the extent of hindsight bias.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0956-7976",
doi="10.1177/0956797612447817",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0956797612447817"
}