@article{ref1,
title="Optimism following a tornado disaster",
journal="Personality and social psychology bulletin",
year="2013",
author="Suls, Jerry and Rose, Jason P. and Windschitl, Paul D. and Smith, Andrew R.",
volume="39",
number="5",
pages="691-702",
abstract="Effects of exposure to a severe weather disaster on perceived future vulnerability were assessed in college students, local residents contacted through random-digit dialing, and community residents of affected versus unaffected neighborhoods. Students and community residents reported being less vulnerable than their peers at 1 month, 6 months, and 1 year after the disaster. In Studies 1 and 2, absolute risk estimates were more optimistic with time, whereas comparative vulnerability was stable. Residents of affected neighborhoods (Study 3), surprisingly, reported less comparative vulnerability and lower &quot;gut-level&quot; numerical likelihood estimates at 6 months, but later their estimates resembled the unaffected residents. Likelihood estimates (10%-12%), however, exceeded the 1% risk calculated by storm experts, and gut-level versus statistical-level estimates were more optimistic. Although people believed they had approximately a 1-in-10 chance of injury from future tornadoes (i.e., an overestimate), they thought their risk was lower than peers.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0146-1672",
doi="10.1177/0146167213477457",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0146167213477457"
}