@article{ref1,
title="Association with and predictive capacity of self-perceived risk of falling in recurrent falls in older people: A prospective study",
journal="Aging clinical and experimental research",
year="2013",
author="Gálvez-Barrón, César and Sanguino, María Jesús and Narvaiza, Leire and Cavestany, Federico and Collado, Isabel and Macho, Oscar and Dapena, María Dolores and Rodríguez-Molinero, Alejandro",
volume="25",
number="5",
pages="591-596",
abstract="OBJECTIVE: Given the impact of recurrent falls in older people, risk evaluation for falling is an important part of geriatric assessment. Available clinical tools usually do not include patients' self-perceived risk of falling. The objective of this study was to evaluate association with and predictive capacity of self-perceived risk of falling in recurrent falls. METHODS: Prospective cohort study. Patients attending a geriatric outpatients' clinic were recruited (Pfeiffer score <5). A baseline assessment and follow-up over 14 months was scheduled for each patient. Self-perceived risk of falling was assessed through four questions. Association with falls was evaluated through relative risk, survival curves (Kaplan-Meier), and Cox regression (recurrent falls as outcome variables). Predictive capacity was evaluated through sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values. RESULTS: 52 participants answered all 4 questions, and 15 participants (27.2 %) presented recurrent falls. Question 1 (Do you think you may fall in the next few months?) was associated with the occurrence of recurrent falls according to relative risk [3.88 (CI95 %:1.48-10.09)] and survival curves (log Rank, p 0.004). Such relationship is maintained over time. Cox-regression also showed significant difference in relation to the answer for question 1 and recurrent falls [hazard ratio 4.044 (CI: 1.410-11.597); p 0.009]. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values (question 1) were 53.3 % (CI95 %:28.1-78.6), 84.2 % (CI95 %:72.6-95.8), 57.1 % (CI95 %:31.2-83.1), and 82.1 % (CI95 %:70.0-94.1), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Patients' self-perceived risk of falling is related to recurrent falls amongst people with a high risk of falling and this parameter might be useful in falling risk evaluation.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="1594-0667",
doi="10.1007/s40520-013-0130-x",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40520-013-0130-x"
}