
@article{ref1,
title="How rare are large, multiple-fatality work-related incidents?",
journal="Accident analysis and prevention",
year="2016",
author="Pierce, Brooks",
volume="96",
number="",
pages="88-100",
abstract="Despite their salience, the prevalence of incidents that result in many work-related deaths is not well-documented. This study estimated probabilities of observing large scale work-related fatal incidents using 1995-2010 records from the Census of Fatal Occupational Injuries. A range of model estimates suggest approximately a one-in-four annual chance of observing an incident resulting in 20 or more work-related fatalities. The most likely contributors are aircraft incidents, and fires and explosions. The probability that a large scale incident occurs has declined in recent years due to a general decline in the number of fatal incidents, and due to a compositional shift away from those types of incidents more likely to result in large scale outcomes.<br><br>Published by Elsevier Ltd.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0001-4575",
doi="10.1016/j.aap.2016.07.014",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2016.07.014"
}