@article{ref1,
title="Predicting repeat self-harm in children: How accurate can we expect to be?",
journal="European child and adolescent psychiatry",
year="2003",
author="Chitsabesan, Prathiba and Harrington, R. and Harrington, V. and Tomenson, B.",
volume="12",
number="1",
pages="23-29",
abstract="The main objective of the study was to find which variables predict repetition of deliberate self-harm in children. The study is based on a group of children who took part in a randomized control trial investigating the effects of a home-based family intervention for children who had deliberately poisoned themselves. These children had a range of baseline and outcome measures collected on two occasions (two and six months follow-up). Outcome data were collected from 149 (92 %) of the initial 162 children over the six months. Twenty-three children made a further deliberate self-harm attempt within the follow-up period. A number of variables at baseline were found to be significantly associated with repeat self-harm. Parental mental health and a history of previous attempts were the strongest predictors. A model of prediction of further deliberate self-harm combining these significant individual variables produced a high positive predictive value (86 %) but had low sensitivity (28 %). Predicting repeat self-harm in children is difficult, even with a comprehensive series of assessments over multiple time points, and we need to adapt services with this in mind. We propose a model of service provision which takes these findings into account.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="1018-8827",
doi="10.1007/s00787-003-0302-x",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00787-003-0302-x"
}