
@article{ref1,
title="The prognostic validity of the timed up and go test with a dual task for predicting the risk of falls in the elderly",
journal="Gerontology and geriatric medicine",
year="2016",
author="Hofheinz, Martin and Mibs, Michael",
volume="2",
number="",
pages="e2333721416637798-e2333721416637798",
abstract="OBJECTIVE: The aim is to examine the prognostic validity of the Timed Up and Go Test with a cognitive and a manual dual task for predicting the risk of falls. <br><br>METHOD: A follow-up study was performed. The data were recorded for 120 volunteers in an outpatient physiotherapy center, with a 12-month follow-up. The sample included 120 elderly men and women aged 60 to 87 years (M age = 72.2 years) living at home. The main measurements were as follows: The Timed Up and Go Test (TUG), the TUG with a cognitive dual task (TUGcog), and the TUG with a manual dual task (TUGman) and falls. <br><br>RESULTS: In the 12-month follow-up, 37 persons (30.8%) had a locomotive fall. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve shows significant results for the TUGcog. The area under the curve is 0.65 (p =.008), with a 95% confidence interval (CI) = [0.55, 0.76]. For the TUGman, the area under the curve is 0.57 with a 95% CI = [0.45, 0.68], which is not significant (p =.256). For the TUG, the area under the curve is 0.58, which is not significant (p =.256), 95% CI = [0.47, 0.69]. <br><br>CONCLUSION: The TUGcog is a valid prognostic assessment to predict falls in community-dwelling elderly people.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="2333-7214",
doi="10.1177/2333721416637798",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2333721416637798"
}