@article{ref1,
title="Using the capture-recapture method to estimate the incidence of musculoskeletal injuries among U.S. Army soldiers",
journal="Journal of science and medicine in sport",
year="2017",
author="Lovalekar, Mita and Keenan, Karen A. and Chang, Yue-Fang and Wirt, Michael D. and Nindl, Bradley C. and Beals, Kim and Nagai, Takashi",
volume="20",
number="Suppl 4",
pages="S23-S27",
abstract="Musculoskeletal injury (MSI) data typically are obtained from medical chart-review (MCR) or injury self-reports (ISR). MSI incidence may be under-counted if only one source is utilized, as MCR will not capture MSI for which medical care was not sought, and ISR may be affected by issues with recall. <br><br>OBJECTIVES: The purposes of this study were to determine MSI incidence from two sources (MCR, ISR) and to estimate the incidence, after accounting for the under-counting in both sources, among a sample of U.S. Army soldiers. <br><br>DESIGN: Descriptive cross-sectional study. <br><br>METHODS: The estimated cumulative incidence during a one-year period was calculated from the two sources of MSI data using a novel statistical analysis (capture-recapture-CRC). <br><br>RESULTS: MSI data were available for 287 soldiers (age: 27.5±6.3years (mean±standard deviation)). The one-year cumulative incidence of MSI was 17.8% (MCR), 19.5% (ISR), and 54.0% (CRC). CRC analysis showed that there was under-counting from both sources of data and the percent of CRC estimated MSI observed were 32.9% (MCR), 36.1% (ISR), and 57.4% (MCR and ISR combined). When analyzed by MSI type, percent of CRC estimated MSI counted from both sources was highest (75.0%) for fracture, followed by sprain (53.8%), strain (43.8%), and pain/spasm/ache (35.8%). <br><br>CONCLUSIONS: There was under-counting of MSI from both sources of data, and the under-counting varied by MSI type. There is a need for further investigation of the relative benefits of various sources of MSI data and the application of the capture-recapture analysis in military populations.<br><br>Copyright © 2017 Sports Medicine Australia. All rights reserved.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="1440-2440",
doi="10.1016/j.jsams.2017.07.013",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jsams.2017.07.013"
}