@article{ref1,
title="Changes in child welfare and subsequent crime rate trends: A cross-national test of the lagged nurturance hypothesis",
journal="Journal of applied developmental psychology",
year="2002",
author="Savage, Joanne and Vila, Bryan",
volume="23",
number="1",
pages="51-82",
abstract="The General Evolutionary Ecological Paradigm for understanding criminal behavior [Criminology 32 (1994) 501.] predicts that social programs which improve the quality of such things as maternal and infant health care, parenting, and education will tend to reduce population-level crime rates 10-15 years later when children exposed to those conditions reach adolescence and early adulthood. This prediction--more simply referred to as the &quot;lagged nurturance hypothesis&quot;--is theoretically important because it integrates population-level perspectives on crime with the large body of microlevel research linking child development with delinquency. We test the lagged nurturance hypothesis using an extensive set of cross-national data. Despite inherent measurement and methodological difficulties associated with cross-national research that weaken statistical power, our findings support the lagged nurturance hypothesis. Implications for future research and public policy are discussed.<p />",
language="",
issn="0193-3973",
doi="",
url="http://dx.doi.org/"
}