@article{ref1,
title="The impact of changing demographic composition on aggravated assault victimization during the great American crime decline: a counterfactual analysis of rates in urban, suburban, and rural areas",
journal="Criminal justice review",
year="2017",
author="Kaylen, Maria and Pridemore, William Alex and Roche, Sean Patrick",
volume="42",
number="3",
pages="291-314",
abstract="The United States experienced a dramatic decline in interpersonal violence rates between the early 1990s and mid-2000s. This decline, however, was much steeper in urban and suburban relative to rural areas. Prior research showed changing demographic composition can account for a substantial amount of change in inequality in victimization rates. We employed National Crime Victimization Survey data and counterfactual modeling to determine if changes in demographic composition--including proportion of population young, unmarried, male, unemployed, and in several income groups--of urban, suburban, and rural areas were partially responsible for changes between 1993 and 2005 in (1) area-specific aggravated assault victimization rates and (2) urban-suburban, urban-rural, and suburban-rural victimization rate ratios. <br><br>RESULTS showed changes in individual demographic characteristics played a very minor role in changes in area-specific assault rates. The one exception was income, which explained a substantial amount of change in victimization rates across all three areas. Changes in demographic composition explained a greater amount of change in rural relative to urban and suburban victimization rates. Changes in demographic composition across these three area types were also responsible for a small proportion of the large changes in the urban-rural and suburban-rural victimization rate ratios over time.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0734-0168",
doi="10.1177/0734016817724503",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0734016817724503"
}