@article{ref1,
title="I know the rule, but I'll just go with my gut: is there a rational use of intuition?",
journal="Thinking and reasoning",
year="2018",
author="Loureiro, Filipe and Garcia-Marques, Teresa",
volume="24",
number="4",
pages="469-497",
abstract="Research has established that human thinking is often biased by intuitive judgement. The base-rate neglect effect provides such an example, so named because people often support their decisions in stereotypical individuating information, neglecting base-rates. Here, we test the hypothesis that reasoners acknowledge information provided by base-rates and may use individuating information in support of a &quot;rational&quot; decision process. <br><br>RESULTS from four experiments show that &quot;base-rate neglecting&quot; occurs when participants acknowledge sample distributions; participants who prefer individuating over base-rate information perceive base-rates as less diagnostic and are more confident in their individuating-based responses; and that posterior probabilities (assigned after all relevant information is considered) predict more individuating-based responses for individuating-preference participants (suggesting a rational process). However, data also show a deeper form of base-rate neglect: even when some participants report to prefer base-rate information, define individuating information as non-diagnostic, and their posterior probabilities suggest otherwise, they still provide individuating-based responses.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="1354-6783",
doi="10.1080/13546783.2018.1448300",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13546783.2018.1448300"
}