@article{ref1,
title="Increasing mitigation ambition to meet the Paris Agreement's temperature goal avoids substantial heat-related mortality in U.S. cities",
journal="Science advances",
year="2019",
author="Lo, Y. T. Eunice and Mitchell, Daniel M. and Gasparrini, Antonio and Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana M. and Ebi, Kristie L. and Frumhoff, Peter C. and Millar, Richard J. and Roberts, William and Sera, Francesco and Sparrow, Sarah and Uhe, Peter and Williams, Gethin",
volume="5",
number="6",
pages="eaau4373-eaau4373",
abstract="Current greenhouse gas mitigation ambition is consistent with ~3°C global mean warming above preindustrial levels. There is a clear need to strengthen mitigation ambition to stabilize the climate at the Paris Agreement goal of warming of less than 2°C. We specify the differences in city-level heat-related mortality between the 3°C trajectory and warming of 2° and 1.5°C. Focusing on 15 U.S. cities where reliable climate and health data are available, we show that ratcheting up mitigation ambition to achieve the 2°C threshold could avoid between 70 and 1980 annual heat-related deaths per city during extreme events (30-year return period). Achieving the 1.5°C threshold could avoid between 110 and 2720 annual heat-related deaths. Population changes and adaptation investments would alter these numbers. Our results provide compelling evidence for the heat-related health benefits of limiting global warming to 1.5°C in the United States.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="2375-2548",
doi="10.1126/sciadv.aau4373",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aau4373"
}