@article{ref1,
title="From physical disruption to community impact: modelling a Wellington Fault earthquake",
journal="Australasian journal of disaster and trauma studies",
year="2019",
author="Brown, Charlotte and McDonald, Garry and Uma, S. R. and Smith, Nicky and Sadashiva, Vinod and Buxton, Rob and Grace, Emily and Seville, Erica and Daly, Michelle",
volume="23",
number="2",
pages="65-75",
abstract="Modelling the economic impact of an earthquake event provides a means to support decision-making for investment options to improve disaster preparedness. Quantification of economic impact requires a comprehensive understanding of how damage to physical assets such as buildings and infrastructure networks translates into disruption to, and impact on, communities and businesses. This paper describes how a scenario narrative was developed as an essential prerequisite for an ex-ante economic assessment of a Wellington Fault event in Aotearoa New Zealand. The approach begins with the development of a suite of infrastructure asset damage and restoration maps, which account for infrastructure interdependencies. This data is then translated, based on expert elicitation processes, into a range of post-earthquake behaviours including population displacement, business disruption and relocation, and tourism effects. Lastly, these behaviours are set up as inputs for a novel economic model that captures out-of-equilibrium dynamics and behavioural adaptation. This narrative, alongside the economic modelling component, has been used to support decision-making around regional infrastructure resilience investment.   Keywords: Disaster impact, socio-economic modelling, disaster recovery, Wellington Fault earthquake<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="1174-4707",
doi="",
url="http://dx.doi.org/"
}