
@article{ref1,
title="Reliability and predictive validity of the Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol-II in an Australian context",
journal="International journal of offender therapy and comparative criminology",
year="2020",
author="Molnar, Timea and Allard, Troy and McKillop, Nadine and Rynne, John",
volume="ePub",
number="ePub",
pages="ePub-ePub",
abstract="This study investigated the reliability and predictive validity of the Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol-II (J-SOAP-II), in an Australian context, and for Australian Indigenous and non-Indigenous youth. Participants were 123 (<i>n</i> = 91 non-Indigenous; <i>n</i> = 32 Indigenous) youth assessed using the J-SOAP-II and followed up over an average period of 4 years. The reliability of the J-SOAP-II was assessed using measures of internal consistency (Cronbach's alphas and inter-item correlations). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were conducted to assess the J-SOAP-II's validity in predicting sexual and non-sexual (violent and non-violent) recidivism. Overall, the J-SOAP-II demonstrated moderate to high levels of reliability and weak to moderate levels of validity for predicting sexual and non-sexual (violent and non-violent) recidivism for the whole sample. While the J-SOAP-II total score was significantly associated with non-sexual (violent and non-violent) recidivism for non-Indigenous youth, it was not significantly associated with any of the outcome variables for Indigenous youth. Across all analyses, the dynamic scales of the J-SOAP-II predicted recidivism with greater accuracy than the static scales. However, the static scales had greater accuracy in predicting the risk of sexual recidivism for Indigenous youth. While a reliable measure, these preliminary findings raise questions about the validity of the J-SOAP-II for predicting sexual recidivism for Indigenous and non-Indigenous youth in an Australian context, and warrant further investigation.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0306-624X",
doi="10.1177/0306624X19900978",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0306624X19900978"
}