@article{ref1,
title="Assessing the risk of pre-existing grievances in non-democracies: the conditional effect of natural disasters on repression",
journal="International journal of disaster risk reduction",
year="2020",
author="Pfaff, Katharina",
volume="42",
number="",
pages="e101337-e101337",
abstract="Every disaster carries the risk of destruction but not every disaster prompts violent political process in a country. This article examines the popular argument that natural disasters can lead to higher state violence if resulting shocks caused by a disaster add to pre-existing grievances. If economic inequality or political instability is prevalent before a disaster occurs, disasters are expected to exacerbate the perceived threat to government's survival in office. Consequently, repression is expected to be higher in the aftermath of a disaster. I test the existence of the expected conditional effect of pre-disaster stability and disasters using cross-national data on natural rapid-onset disasters in non-democracies between 1976 and 2013. As indicators for pre-existing grievances this article focuses on ex ante economic inequality and political dissent. While a natural disaster as such is not associated with a violation of human rights, empirical evidence suggests that the probability of an increase in post-disaster repression is higher when a country has previously experienced grievances.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="2212-4209",
doi="10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101337",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101337"
}