
@article{ref1,
title="Political storms: Emergent partisan skepticism of hurricane risks",
journal="Science advances",
year="2020",
author="Long, Elisa F. and Chen, M. Keith and Rohla, Ryne",
volume="6",
number="37",
pages="e7906-e7906",
abstract="Mistrust of scientific evidence and government-issued guidelines is increasingly correlated with political affiliation. Survey evidence has documented skepticism in a diverse set of issues including climate change, vaccine hesitancy, and, most recently, COVID-19 risks. Less well understood is whether these beliefs alter high-stakes behavior. Combining GPS data for 2.7 million smartphone users in Florida and Texas with 2016 U.S. presidential election precinct-level results, we examine how conservative-media dismissals of hurricane advisories in 2017 influenced evacuation decisions. Likely Trump-voting Florida residents were 10 to 11 percentage points less likely to evacuate Hurricane Irma than Clinton voters (34% versus 45%), a gap not present in prior hurricanes. <br><br>RESULTS are robust to fine-grain geographic controls, which compare likely Clinton and Trump voters living within 150 m of each other. The rapid surge in media-led suspicion of hurricane forecasts-and the resulting divide in self-protective measures-illustrates a large behavioral consequence of science denialism.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="2375-2548",
doi="10.1126/sciadv.abb7906",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abb7906"
}