@article{ref1,
title="A forward Markov model for predicting bicycle speed",
journal="Transportation",
year="2020",
author="Arnesen, Petter and Malmin, Olav Kåre and Dahl, Erlend",
volume="47",
number="5",
pages="2415-2437",
abstract="Speed prediction of different transport modes is important in applications such as route planning, transport modelling and energy calculations. In this paper we model bicycle speed as a function of slope and horizontal curvature. We developed two models, one with dependence between subsequent observations (a forward Markov model) and one without such a dependence (a generalised linear model). We show through prediction on out-of-sample data that the model including dependence between observations outperforms the model without. To estimate and evaluate our models we use a data set collected using a smart phone application. The data collected includes different sources of error, and therefore we introduce various filtering methods to make the data more appropriate for statistical analysis and model estimation.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0049-4488",
doi="10.1007/s11116-019-10021-x",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11116-019-10021-x"
}