@article{ref1,
title="The global law of terror organization lifespan",
journal="Terrorism and political violence",
year="2020",
author="Goldman, Shlomo Ogen and Bar, Leah",
volume="32",
number="8",
pages="1636-1665",
abstract="The study addresses the question of whether there is a global pattern of terror organization (TO) lifespan. Based on two datasets which include hundreds of organizations, we show that there is a global statistical law of TO lifespan distribution. This distribution describes populations of TOs in different contexts of periods, geographical locations, ideologies, etc. The data as a whole, as well as its subpopulations, seem to emerge from an exponential distribution, which is formulated as a mathematical model. This model enables the prediction of TOs' global population decay rate. The findings were obtained by introducing a novel procedure, which formulates and validates this mathematical law for discrete empirical data. We suggest that human behavior generating informational cascades and a positive feedback loop, which influence the number of core members in a TO, may be the source of this global pattern.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0954-6553",
doi="10.1080/09546553.2018.1498787",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09546553.2018.1498787"
}