@article{ref1,
title="Potential influence of cognitive bias on decision-making in a flood scenario",
journal="International journal of disaster risk reduction",
year="2021",
author="Reis, André Luiz Q. and Stenders, Ricardo M. and Alves, Isabela S. and Câmara, Renan A. and Arana, Alba R. A. and Amorim, José Carlos C. and Andrade, Edson R.",
volume="57",
number="",
pages="e102198-e102198",
abstract="This study focuses on the possible mathematical correlation between the indexes (Gravelius, flood, and hazard) that characterize the propensity of a territory to suffer flooding, and the potential damage caused to the public. This characterization quantifies the level of threat of flood damage which in turn is combined with the Dunning-Kruger coefficient. The second one is created in this work in order to consider the cognitive influence exerted by decision-makers on the risk perception. This combination allows us to estimate how much the intellectual self-perception of the decision-makers influences the results, thus offering a new perspective for the assessment of natural disaster management. From this estimate, it is possible to establish a different perspective which takes into account the interaction between threat and responsiveness of decision-makers for the projection of damage to human life in the event of a flood.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="2212-4209",
doi="10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102198",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102198"
}