
@article{ref1,
title="Modeling Rasmussen's dynamic modeling problem: drift towards a boundary of safety",
journal="Cognition, technology and work",
year="2022",
author="Morrison, J. Bradley and Wears, Robert L.",
volume="24",
number="1",
pages="127-145",
abstract="We build a system dynamics model based on a conceptual model originally proposed by safety scientist Jens Rasmussen to explore the dynamics of a safety system subject to pressures for performance improvement. Rasmussen described forces that generate a drift in the boundary of acceptable performance that can push the organization towards &quot;flirting with the margin&quot; and thus operate at very high risk of catastrophic safety failure. Simulations of the model faithfully replicate the behavior described by Rasmussen and others in a variety of scenarios. Simulation experiments further illuminate the potential for risky behavior and point towards some approaches to better system safety.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="1435-5558",
doi="10.1007/s10111-021-00668-x",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10111-021-00668-x"
}