@article{ref1,
title="Bikeability and the induced demand for cycling",
journal="Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America",
year="2023",
author="Fosgerau, Mogens and Łukawska, Mirosława and Paulsen, Mads and Rasmussen, Thomas Kjær",
volume="120",
number="16",
pages="e2220515120-e2220515120",
abstract="To what extent is the volume of urban bicycle traffic affected by the provision of bicycle infrastructure? In this study, we exploit a large dataset of GPS trajectories of bicycle trips in combination with a fine-grained representation of the Copenhagen bicycle-relevant network. We apply a model for bicyclists' choice of route from origin to destination that takes the complete network into account. This enables us to determine bicyclists' preferences for a range of infrastructure and land-use types. We use the estimated preferences to compute a generalized cost of bicycle travel, which we correlate with the number of bicycle trips across a large number of origin-destination pairs. Simulations suggest that the extensive Copenhagen bicycle lane network has caused the number of bicycle trips and the bicycle kilometers traveled to increase by 60% and 90%, respectively, compared with a counterfactual without the bicycle lane network. This translates into an annual benefit of €0.4M per km of bicycle lane owing to changes in generalized travel cost, health, and accidents. Our results thus strongly support the provision of bicycle infrastructure.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0027-8424",
doi="10.1073/pnas.2220515120",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2220515120"
}