@article{ref1,
title="An examination of predictive validity and change in risk factors for stalking over time",
journal="The journal of the American Academy of Psychiatry and the Law",
year="2023",
author="Penney, Stephanie R. and Ulrich, Roy and Maheandiran, Margaret",
volume="ePub",
number="ePub",
pages="ePub-ePub",
abstract="This study investigates the predictive validity of two risk instruments for stalking, the Guidelines for Stalking Assessment and Management (SAM) and the Stalking Risk Profile (SRP), in a sample of 86 forensic psychiatric patients. We compare these tools against a well-validated violence risk assessment measure (Historical, Clinical, Risk Management-20, Version 3 (HCR-20V3)) for violent and stalking-related outcomes. Dynamic (mutable) components of each tool were rated at three annual intervals and revealed significant change across time. The HCR-20V3, SAM, and SRP measures showed comparable ability to classify those who recidivated with further stalking from those who did not (area under the curves = .72-.73, P < 001). Time-varying scores from the dynamic subscales of the HCR-20V3 and SAM contributed significantly to the prediction of stalking, whereas nonstalking violence was primarily forecast by the static (Historical) scale of the HCR-20V3. This suggests comparable validity of general violence and stalking risk tools for assessing the risk of stalking in forensic patients. Stalking-specific risk factors on the SAM and SRP will likely be of added clinical value in terms of tailoring risk management and treatment plans. <br><br>FINDINGS also emphasize the importance of attending to changes in risk status over time and incorporating time-sensitive methodologies into predictive models.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="1093-6793",
doi="10.29158/JAAPL.220110-22",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.29158/JAAPL.220110-22"
}