@article{ref1,
title="Maritime transportation and people mobility in the early diffusion of COVID-19 in Croatia",
journal="Frontiers in public health",
year="2023",
author="Cot, Corentin and Aksentijević, Dea and Jugović, Alen and Cacciapaglia, Giacomo and Mannarini, Gianandrea",
volume="11",
number="",
pages="e1183047-e1183047",
abstract="INTRODUCTION: The outbreak of COVID-19 in Europe began in early 2020, leading to the emergence of several waves of infection with varying timings across European countries. The largest wave of infection occurred in August-September. Croatia, known for being a hotspot of tourism in the Mediterranean region, raised concerns that it might have played a role in incubating the pandemic during the summer of 2020. <br><br>METHODS: To investigate this possibility, we conducted a data-driven study to examine the potential influence of passenger mobility to and within Croatia, utilizing various modes of transportation. To achieve this, we integrated observational datasets into the &quot;epidemic Renormalization Group&quot; modeling framework. <br><br>RESULTS: By comparing the models with epidemiological data, we found that in the case of Croatia in 2020, neither maritime nor train transportation played a prominent role in propagating the infection. Instead, our analysis highlighted the leading role of both road and airborne mobility in the transmission of the virus. <br><br>DISCUSSION: The proposed framework serves to test hypotheses concerning the causation of infectious waves, offering the capacity to rule out unrelated factors from consideration.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="2296-2565",
doi="10.3389/fpubh.2023.1183047",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2023.1183047"
}