@article{ref1,
title="Assessing risk associated with recreational activities in coastal areas by using a Bayesian network",
journal="Heliyon",
year="2023",
author="Lee, Meng-Tsung and Chang, Yang-Chi and Yang, Han-Chung and Lin, Yi-Jun",
volume="9",
number="9",
pages="e19827-e19827",
abstract="Taiwan is an island and therefore has a considerable amount of coastal land. Drowning or near-drowning incidents often occur in coastal recreational areas. To reduce the risk of drowning or near-drowning associated with marine recreational activities in Taiwan, this study collected data on the risk associated with marine recreational activities. It selected risk factors using a modified Delphi panel method, with an expert panel used to obtain probability values for each risk factor. A Bayesian network for risk assessment was then established. The results of this study can serve as a reference for stakeholders involved in marine recreational activities. Severe weather conditions increase wave height and current speed, resulting in an increased risk of drowning or near-drowning when coastal recreational activities occur under these conditions. Individuals who undertake marine recreational activities without safety awareness are more likely to exhibit risky behaviors. When self-rescue ability is insufficient to prevent possible danger, the probability of drowning or near-drowning is higher. Serious incidents may lead to death, and therefore, marine recreational activities should be avoided when weather conditions are poor. In addition, the safety awareness and self-rescue ability of individuals undertaking coastal recreational activities should be improved. This study did not explore emergency response measures or postincident policy management.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="2405-8440",
doi="10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19827",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19827"
}