@article{ref1,
title="Recurrence Intervals Between Earthquakes Strongly Depend on History",
journal="Physica A: statistical mechanics and its applications",
year="2005",
author="Livina, V and Tuzov, S and Havlin, S and Bunde, A",
volume="348",
number="",
pages="591-595",
abstract="We study the statistics of the recurrence times between earthquakes above a certain magnitude M in California. We find that the distribution of the recurrence times strongly depends on the previous recurrence time [tau]0. As a consequence, the conditional mean recurrence time between two events increases monotonically with [tau]0. For [tau]0 well below the average recurrence time is smaller than , while for , is greater than . Also, the mean residual time until the next earthquake does not depend only on the elapsed time, but also strongly on [tau]0. The larger [tau]0 is, the larger is the mean residual time. The above features should be taken into account in any earthquake prognosis.   <p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="0378-4371",
doi="",
url="http://dx.doi.org/"
}