
@article{ref1,
title="A comparison of models with weight, height, and BMI as predictors of mortality",
journal="Obes Sci Pract",
year="2021",
author="Sorjonen, K. and Nilsonne, G. and Falkstedt, D. and Hemmingsson, T. and Melin, B. and Ingre, M.",
volume="7",
number="2",
pages="168-175",
abstract="INTRODUCTION: Body mass index (BMI) is a composite variable of weight and height, often used as a predictor of health outcomes, including mortality. The main purpose of combining weight and height in one variable is to obtain a measure of obesity independent of height. It is however unclear how accurate BMI is as a predictor of mortality compared with models including both weight and height or a weight × height interaction as predictors. <br><br>METHODS: The current study used conscription data on weight, height, and BMI of Swedish men (N = 48,904) in 1969/70 as well as linked data on mortality (3442 deaths) between 1969 and 2008. Cox proportional hazard models including combinations of weight, height, and BMI at conscription as predictors of subsequent all-cause and cause-specific mortality were fitted to data. <br><br>RESULTS: An increase by one standard deviation on weight and BMI were associated with an increase in hazard for all-cause mortality by 5.4% and 11.5%, respectively, while an increase by one standard deviation on height was associated with a decrease in hazard for all-cause mortality by 9.4%. The best-fitting model indicated lowest predicted all-cause mortality for those who weighed 60.5 kg at conscription, regardless of height. Further analyses of cause-specific mortality suggest that this weight seems to be a compromise between lower optimal weights to avoid cancer and CVD mortality and a higher optimal weight to not die by suicide. <br><br>CONCLUSIONS: According to the present findings, there are several ways to make better use of measured weight and height than to calculate BMI when predicting mortality. © 2020 The Authors. Obesity Science & Practice published by World Obesity and The Obesity Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.<p /><p>Language: en</p>",
language="en",
issn="2055-2238",
doi="10.1002/osp4.473",
url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/osp4.473"
}