@article{ref1,
title="Three Strikes and You're Out: Demographic Analysis of Mandatory Prison Sentencing",
journal="Demography",
year="1998",
author="Schmertmann, CP and Amankwaa, Adansi A. and Long, RD",
volume="35",
number="4",
pages="445-463",
abstract="Much of the debate about the costs and benefits of &quot;three-strikes&quot; laws for repeat felony offenders is implicitly demographic relying on unexamined assumptions about prison population dynamics. However, even state-of-the-art analysis has omitted important demographic details. We construct a multistate life-table model of population flows to and from prisons, incorporating age-specific transition rates estimated from administrative data from Florida. We use the multistate life-table model to investigate patterns of prison population growth and aging under many variants of three-strikes laws. Our analysis allows us to quantify these demographic changes and suggests that the aging of prison populations under three-strikes policies will significantly undermine their long-run effectiveness.<p />",
language="",
issn="0070-3370",
doi="",
url="http://dx.doi.org/"
}