@article{ref1, title="The development of the VP-SAFvR: an actuarial instrument for police triage of Australian family violence reports", journal="Criminal justice and behavior", year="2019", author="McEwan, Troy E. and Shea, Daniel E. and Ogloff, James R. P.", volume="46", number="4", pages="590-607", abstract="This study describes the rationale, development, and validation of the Victoria Police Screening Assessment for Family Violence Risk (VP-SAFvR). The actuarial instrument was developed on a sample of 24,446 Australian police reports from 2013-2014. Information from each report and criminal histories of those involved were collected with 12-month follow-up, and binary logistic regression used to develop an improper predictive model. The selected VP-SAFvR cut-off score correctly identified almost three quarters of cases with further reports, while half of those without were accurately excluded. It was effective for frontline police triage decision-making, with few screened-out cases reporting further family violence, while those screened-in required additional risk assessment. Predictive validity was adequate and consistent across family relationships and demographic groups, although it was less effective in predicting future family violence reports involving same-sex couples or child perpetrators. Further evaluation in a field trial is necessary to determine the validity of the VP-SAFvR in practice.

Language: en

", language="en", issn="0093-8548", doi="10.1177/0093854818806031", url="http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0093854818806031" }