%0 Journal Article
%T Climate change modeling and the weather-related road accidents in Canada
%J Transportation research part D: transport and environment
%D 2014
%A Amin, Md. Shohel Reza
%A Zareie, Alireza
%A Amador-Jiménez, Luis E.
%V 32
%N 
%P 171-183
%X The objective of this research is to study the impact of climate change on the hazardous weather-related road accidents in the New Brunswick, Canada. We develop an Exposure to Weather-Accident Severity (EWAS) index multiplying accident and weather severity. The Negative Binomial Regression and Poisson regression models are applied to estimate the spatial-temporal relationship between the EWAS index and weather-related explanatory variables of road accidents. The regression results show that the surface-weather condition, weather, driver's gender, weather-driver's age, weather-driver's experience, and weather-vehicle's age have strong positive correlation with the EWAS index, while the surface-road alignment and surface-road characteristics have negative relationship with the EWAS index. The climate change model also indicates that the number of accidents declines during snowy and freezing days--most people stay at home and those who travel extra cautious--accidents do occur. The study suggests that the Road Safety Strategy 2015 of the Transport Canada should take a holistic approach to help minimize the incidences of severe road accident during the normal as well as hazardous weather conditions.<p /> <p>Language: en</p>
%G en
%I Elsevier Publishing
%@ 1361-9209
%U http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2014.07.012