TY - JOUR PY - 2010// TI - Falls prediction in elderly people: A 1-year prospective study JO - Gait and posture A1 - Swanenburg, Jaap A1 - de Bruin, E. D. A1 - Uebelhart, Daniel A1 - Mulder, Theo SP - 317 EP - 321 VL - 31 IS - 3 N2 - The aim of the present study was to determine whether force plate variables in single- and dual-task situations are able to predict the risk of multiple falls in a community-dwelling elderly population. Two hundred and seventy elderly persons (225 females, 45 males; age, 73+/-7 years) performed balance assessment with and without vision. Seven force plate variables were assessed to predict the risk of multiple falls; maximum displacement in the anteroposterior and medial-lateral directions (Max-AP, Max-ML), mean displacement in the medial-lateral direction (MML), the root mean square amplitude in anteroposterior and medial-lateral directions (RMS-AP, RMS-ML), the average speed of displacement (V), and the area of the 95th percentile ellipse (AoE). Falls were prospectively recorded during the following year. A total of 437 registered falls occurred during monitoring period. The force plate variable RMS-ML in the single-task condition (odds ratio, 21.8) predicted multiple falls together with the following covariables: history of multiple falls (odds ratio, 5.6), use of medications (fall-risk medications or multiple medicine use; odds ratio, 2.3), and gender (odds ratio, 0.34). Multiple fallers had a narrower stance width than non-fallers.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0966-6362 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gaitpost.2009.11.013 ID - ref1 ER -