TY - JOUR PY - 2010// TI - Alice in actuarial-land: through the looking glass of changing static-99 norms JO - The journal of the American Academy of Psychiatry and the Law A1 - Sreenivasan, Shoba A1 - Weinberger, Linda E. A1 - Frances, Allen A1 - Cusworth-Walker, Sarah SP - 400 EP - 406 VL - 38 IS - 3 N2 - The Static-99, an actuarial rating method, is employed to conduct sexual violence risk assessment in legal contexts. The proponents of the Static-99 dismiss clinical judgment as not empirical. Two elements must be present to apply an actuarial risk model to a specific individual: sample representativeness and uniform measurement of outcome. This review demonstrates that both of these elements are lacking in the normative studies of the Static-99 and its revised version, the Static-99R. Studies conducted since the publication of the Static-99 have not replicated the original norms. Sexual recidivism rates for the same Static-99 score vary widely, from low to high, depending on the sample used. A hypothetical case example is presented to illustrate how the solitary application of the Static-99 or Static-99R recidivism rates to the exclusion of salient clinical factors for identifying sexual dangerousness can have serious consequences for public safety.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 1093-6793 UR - http://dx.doi.org/ ID - ref1 ER -