TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2011//
TI  - Optimal observation time window for forecasting the next earthquake
JO  - Physical review E: Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics
A1  - Omi, Takahiro
A1  - Kanter, Ido
A1  - Shinomoto, Shigeru
SP  - 026101
EP  - 026101
VL  - 83
IS  - 2-2
N2  - We report that the accuracy of predicting the occurrence time of the next earthquake is significantly enhanced by observing the latest rate of earthquake occurrences. The observation period that minimizes the temporal uncertainty of the next occurrence is on the order of 10 hours. This result is independent of the threshold magnitude and is consistent across different geographic areas. This time scale is much shorter than the months or years that have previously been considered characteristic of seismic activities.<p />  <p>Language: en</p>
LA  - en
SN  - 1539-3755
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/
ID  - ref1
ER  -