TY - JOUR PY - 2006// TI - The cost-effectiveness of strategies to reduce mortality from an intentional release of aerosolized anthrax spores JO - Medical decision making A1 - Braithwaite, R. Scott A1 - Fridsma, Douglas A1 - Roberts, Mark S. SP - 182 EP - 193 VL - 26 IS - 2 N2 - BACKGROUND: Intentional exposures to aerosolized Bacillus anthracis spores have caused fatalities. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of strategies to reduce mortality from future inhalational anthrax exposures. METHODS: Computer cohort simulation of a 100,000-person single-site exposure (worst-case scenario) and a 100-person multiple-site exposure (resembling the recent US attack). For each scenario, universal vaccination and an emergency surveillance and response (ESR) system were compared with a default strategy that assumed eventual discovery of the exposure. RESULTS: If an exposure was unlikely to occur or was small in scale, neither vaccination nor an ESR system was cost-effective. If an exposure was certain and large in scale, an ESR system was more cost-effective than vaccination ($73 v. $29,600 per life-year saved), and a rapid response saved more lives than improved surveillance. CONCLUSIONS: Strategies to reduce deaths from anthrax attacks are cost-effective only if large exposures are certain. A faster response is more beneficial than enhanced surveillance.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 0272-989X UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0272989X06286794 ID - ref1 ER -