
TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2010//
TI  - Population Size and Civil Conflict Risk: Is there a Causal Link?
JO  - Economic journal
A1  - Brückner, Markus
SP  - 535
EP  - 550
VL  - 120
IS  - 544
N2  - Does an expansion of the population size expose nation states to a higher risk of suffering from civil conflict? Obtaining empirical evidence for a causal relationship is difficult due to reverse effects and omitted variable bias. This article addresses causality issues by using randomly occurring drought as an instrumental variable to generate exogenous variation in population size for a panel of 37 Sub-Saharan countries over the period 1981–2004. Instrumental variable estimates yield that a 5% increase in population size raises the risk of civil conflict by around six percentage points.<p />
LA  - en
SN  - 0013-0133
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2010.02352.x
ID  - ref1
ER  -