TY - JOUR PY - 2008// TI - Is recent major hurricane activity normal? JO - Nature A1 - Neu, Urs SP - E5; discussion E6 EP - E5; discussion E6 VL - 451 IS - 7181 N2 - The anomaly of the recent increase in Atlantic major hurricane activity (MHA) is controversial. From a reconstruction of past MHA, Nyberg et al. conclude that the present activity is not unusual by comparison with that of the past 270 years. However, here I estimate the uncertainty of average MHA in the hurricane record before 1945 and show that the reconstruction of Nyberg et al. differs strongly from that record, and probably overestimates past MHA. Owing to this and further reasons, I question whether their reconstruction provides an accurate basis for conclusions about past MHA.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 0028-0836 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature06576 ID - ref1 ER -