TY - JOUR PY - 1992// TI - Macro model prediction of elderly people's injury and death in road traffic accidents in Croatia JO - Accident analysis and prevention A1 - Vorko-Jović, Ariana A1 - Jovic, F. SP - 667 EP - 672 VL - 24 IS - 6 N2 - The case of elderly people injured and killed in traffic accidents in Croatia is used to illustrate a prediction method. This method consists of several steps. First, the most important variables are selected. Second, to overcome intercorrelation, new variables are constructed that include the old ones. Third, the new variables and its first derivatives are used in a rank correlation method. The results show good predictive capabilities. LA - en SN - 0001-4575 UR - http://dx.doi.org/ ID - ref1 ER -