TY - JOUR PY - 2012// TI - Ethnicity and conflict: theory and facts JO - Science A1 - Esteban, Joan A1 - Mayoral, Laura A1 - Ray, Debraj SP - 858 EP - 865 VL - 336 IS - 6083 N2 - Over the second half of the 20th century, conflicts within national boundaries became increasingly dominant. One-third of all countries experienced civil conflict. Many (if not most) such conflicts involved violence along ethnic lines. On the basis of recent theoretical and empirical research, we provide evidence that preexisting ethnic divisions do influence social conflict. Our analysis also points to particular channels of influence. Specifically, we show that two different measures of ethnic division--polarization and fractionalization--jointly influence conflict, the former more so when the winners enjoy a "public" prize (such as political power or religious hegemony), the latter more so when the prize is "private" (such as looted resources, government subsidies, or infrastructures). The available data appear to strongly support existing theories of intergroup conflict. Our argument also provides indirect evidence that ethnic conflicts are likely to be instrumental, rather than driven by primordial hatreds.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0036-8075 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1222240 ID - ref1 ER -