TY - JOUR PY - 2002// TI - Framing, uncertainty, and hostile communications in a crisis experiment JO - Political psychology A1 - McDermott, Rose A1 - Cowden, Jonathan A1 - Koopman, Cheryl SP - 133 EP - 149 VL - 23 IS - 1 N2 - During times of crisis, do cognitive processes shape leaders' procurement decisions in predictable ways? Drawing on psychological literature, we propose four factors that may have a substantial influence on how much money leaders engaged in ongoing disputes allocate to their military: (1) striving for superiority versus striving for parity in military resources; (2) uncertainty regarding the characteristics of weapons systems; (3) ambiguity regarding the overall capacities of weapons systems; and (4) the tone of messages that adversaries send to one another. The effects of these factors are investigated using a laboratory simulation that combines both experimental and quasi-experimental elements. The results indicate that striving for superiority has a significant effect on defense spending, as does the tone of an opponent's message. By way of contrast, neither uncertainty nor ambiguity exerts a statistically discernable impact on the level of defense spending.

Language: en

LA - en SN - 0162-895X UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/0162-895X.00274 ID - ref1 ER -