TY  - JOUR
PY  - 2011//
TI  - Is your profiling strategy robust?
JO  - Law, probability and risk
A1  - Davidovitch, Lior
A1  - Ben-Haim, Yakov
SP  - 59
EP  - 76
VL  - 10
IS  - 1
N2  - The economic theory of crime views criminals as rational decision makers, implying elastic response to law enforcement. Group-dependent elasticities can be exploited for efficient allocation of enforcement resources. However, profiling can augment both number of arrests and total crime since non-profiled groups will increase their criminality. Elasticities are highly uncertain, so prediction is difficult and uncertainty must be accounted for in designing a profiling strategy. We use info-gap theory for satisficing (not minimizing) total crime rate. Using an empirical example, based on running red lights, we demonstrate the trade-off between robustness to uncertainty and total crime rate.<p /> <p>Language: en</p> 
LA  - en
SN  - 1470-8396
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgq012
ID  - ref1
ER  -