TY - JOUR PY - 2013// TI - Optimism following a tornado disaster JO - Personality and social psychology bulletin A1 - Suls, Jerry A1 - Rose, Jason P. A1 - Windschitl, Paul D. A1 - Smith, Andrew R. SP - 691 EP - 702 VL - 39 IS - 5 N2 - Effects of exposure to a severe weather disaster on perceived future vulnerability were assessed in college students, local residents contacted through random-digit dialing, and community residents of affected versus unaffected neighborhoods. Students and community residents reported being less vulnerable than their peers at 1 month, 6 months, and 1 year after the disaster. In Studies 1 and 2, absolute risk estimates were more optimistic with time, whereas comparative vulnerability was stable. Residents of affected neighborhoods (Study 3), surprisingly, reported less comparative vulnerability and lower "gut-level" numerical likelihood estimates at 6 months, but later their estimates resembled the unaffected residents. Likelihood estimates (10%-12%), however, exceeded the 1% risk calculated by storm experts, and gut-level versus statistical-level estimates were more optimistic. Although people believed they had approximately a 1-in-10 chance of injury from future tornadoes (i.e., an overestimate), they thought their risk was lower than peers.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 0146-1672 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0146167213477457 ID - ref1 ER -