TY - JOUR PY - 2013// TI - Reprint of "Modeling two-vehicle crash severity by a bivariate generalized ordered probit approach" JO - Accident analysis and prevention A1 - Chiou, Yu-Chiun A1 - Hwang, Cherng-Chwan A1 - Chang, Chih-Chin A1 - Fu, Chiang SP - 97 EP - 106 VL - 61 IS - N2 - This study simultaneously models crash severity of both parties in two-vehicle accidents at signalized intersections in Taipei City, Taiwan, using a novel bivariate generalized ordered probit (BGOP) model. Estimation results show that the BGOP model performs better than the conventional bivariate ordered probit (BOP) model in terms of goodness-of-fit indices and prediction accuracy and provides a better approach to identify the factors contributing to different severity levels. According to estimated parameters in latent propensity functions and elasticity effects, several key risk factors are identified-driver type (age>65), vehicle type (motorcycle), violation type (alcohol use), intersection type (three-leg and multiple-leg), collision type (rear ended), and lighting conditions (night and night without illumination). Corresponding countermeasures for these risk factors are proposed.
Language: en
LA - en SN - 0001-4575 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2013.07.005 ID - ref1 ER -